Free Tool · Gold Market
Monthly Gold Roadmap
How does gold move day-by-day through a calendar month? Compare this month to the historical average and the Natural Cycle.
All prices indexed to 100 at the first trading day of each month — only the intra-month shape is compared. Data: gold futures (GC=F) daily close. Natural Cycle is a proprietary composite model computed server-side by the Skool of Forecasting — its structure is not published. For educational and research purposes only. Not financial advice.
Reading the Chart
Each line shows a gold month re-scaled so the first trading day equals 100. A reading of 102 on day 15 means gold was 2% above where it opened that month.
Average Price
The mean of all same-calendar-month instances since 1975 — the broad historical baseline showing how gold has typically moved through that particular month across half a century of data.
Natural Cycle
A proprietary composite model developed by the Skool of Forecasting. It draws on specific historical analogues for the selected month and year, weighted according to our internal methodology. This is the line forecasters use as the primary roadmap for where the month may resolve.
Current Price
The actual indexed data for the selected month and year, stopping where trading has concluded. The gap between the current price line and the Natural Cycle is where the forecasting work begins.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why the logarithmic scale?
On a linear scale, a 5% move at index 95 looks smaller than a 5% move at index 105 — even though the percentage change is identical. A log scale corrects this: equal vertical distances always represent equal percentage changes. This is particularly useful when comparing months where gold made different-sized moves.
Why index to 100?
Gold in 1975 traded around $175 per ounce; in 2026 it trades above $3,000. Indexing to 100 at the month open puts every month on equal footing so the intra-month shape — not the price level — can be compared across decades.
What is the Natural Cycle?
It is a proprietary composite model developed by the Skool of Forecasting. It selects and weights specific historical months based on our internal cyclical methodology. The underlying structure is not published — this is one of the models reserved for members of the Skool.
Is this tool suitable for trading?
No. This tool is for educational and research purposes. Seasonal and cyclical patterns can and do break down. Past patterns do not predict future results. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a qualified financial professional before making any trading decision.